The underdog soccer team is the one that most people are going to assume will lose the game. Underdogs appear all the time, especially when larger and better-financed teams play less-well financed teams. Usually the underdog loses, which is why they often have longer odds to try to encourage people to bet on them. Are there indicators that may help make your underdog bet a little safer when you are sports betting?
The unquenchable answer to that question is "yes," you can make your bet a little safer, but it requires a bit of work. Ideally, if you are setting up your own betting system or gambling model, then you will be taking notes during matches. If not, you need to take notes during matches that will tell you things that soccer statistics will not.
What Are Soccer Statistics Missing?
When you write your notes, you need to ally them to the soccer statistics so you may put them in perspective. An easy example is if the score line was 1-0. As a soccer statistic, it may appear that one team is better than another, but in your notes you may mention that the winning team got lucky and that the underdog team actually played better, reacted better to the weather, and simply had hard luck. Such information will help you make smarter and safer bets in the future.
Is There A Way Of Making Good Money Betting On Underdogs?
Yes, but it is risky. You simply pick five underdogs and create a five-fold accumulator bet. Your stake need not be large, even half a Euro is enough for a sizeable return. The fact is that you are going to lose most of the time with this approach, but upon occasion, you will get lucky and win big.
Five Indicators To Make Your Bet Safer
An indicator is a small piece of evidence that helps you predict a more likely outcome. Judging the relevance of each indicator is up to you.
1 - Reputation Doesn’t Fit With Performance
The underdog may not be "that much" of an underdog. It may simply be that the opposing team has been over hyped and/or is significantly richer than the underdog team. There are plenty of examples of large and expensive teams playing terribly for one reason or another. A hyped team has bad days like any other team, so do not be put off by long odds for your underdog team.
2 - Is The Underdog Improving?
As you watch the games, you need to make notes. As you make notes, you need to consider your own thoughts. Has the underdog team been showing quiet improvement over the last few games? Even though they are still losing, do they seem to be getting better and more cohesive as a team? Bookies and other punters may not have noticed the improvement, which means the underdog will have longer odds.
3 - Does The Opposing Team Have Injuries?
Even when playing an underdog, many punters will not care if the opposing team has injuries. Even popular players with injuries may not sway the average punter into placing a bet on the underdog. However, "you" should take injuries on the opposing team very seriously. Such an injury may be just what your underdog team needs to pull a win out of the hat.
4 - How Do Their Styles Line Up?
Does the underdog like to play on the ground whilst the other team likes it in the air? Does one play a better defensive game? Does the underdog have a brilliant keeper? Also, consider morale issues. The underdog team may be crushed by a setback, which means in turn they will be elated and highly encouraged when they pull ahead.
5 - Does The Underdog Have A Statistical Edge?
For example, if the opposing team has two explosive strikers, does the underdog have a statistical habit of putting many defenders in their own half? Does the goalkeeper have a habit of stopping devastatingly good balls? Does the underdog have a penchant for scoring with long balls?
Four Indicators For When You Are In-Play Sports Betting?
If you have not placed your bet yet and you are watching the match, what indicators may suggest that the underdog team may win?
1 - Does The Underdog Team Have Possession Most Of The Time?
If they do, then they are probably playing conservatively to help lower their chances of being beaten into the ground. For a top-class team, not having the ball will be infuriating. If the underdogs can keep it up, they may be able to sap the morale of the favourites and win. Do not forget to wait a little while to see what happens when the favourites get the ball. If they keep breaking through the underdog’s defence opportunistically, then a bet for the underdogs may be a mistake.
2 - Are The Underdog’s Strikers Getting Through?
The underdogs may be playing beautifully, but if their strikers are not getting through the favourites defence, then the team will not win. Wait for the underdogs to pose a threat and scare the goalkeeper a little before you place your bet.
3 - Is It The Second Half And They Are Not Losing Yet?
Many people assume that the underdog will start to lose within minutes of getting onto the pitch. If the underdogs have made it all the way to the second half and are still drawing, then it may be worth chancing a bet on the underdogs.
4 - In Which Half Does The Opposing Team Play Better?
This is a very important issue that many online bookies factor into their odds generation. The opposing team (the favourites) may play better during the first or second half according to their statistics. Monitor the teams yourself and come up with your own statistics. If the favourites tend to play better in the first half and the underdogs have gotten through to the second half unscathed, then you should bet on the underdogs.